Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.020976 0.022571 0.024231 0.026086 0.028105 0.030238 0.032662
2025-12-28 0.018241 0.020523 0.023019 0.025958 0.029331 0.033092 0.037615
2026-01-04 0.016479 0.019160 0.022204 0.025928 0.030379 0.035552 0.042049
2026-01-11 0.015239 0.018194 0.021651 0.026016 0.031412 0.037901 0.046355
2026-01-18 0.014226 0.017370 0.021145 0.026042 0.032271 0.039991 0.050377
2026-01-25 0.013448 0.016751 0.020807 0.026197 0.033235 0.042197 0.054613
2026-02-01 0.012601 0.015972 0.020196 0.025931 0.033593 0.043591 0.057812
2026-02-08 0.011795 0.015187 0.019515 0.025504 0.033677 0.044581 0.060472
2026-02-15 0.011175 0.014602 0.019049 0.025318 0.034043 0.045934 0.063670
2026-02-22 0.010587 0.014023 0.018551 0.025043 0.034249 0.047047 0.066558
2026-03-01 0.010087 0.013531 0.018141 0.024855 0.034546 0.048276 0.069656
2026-03-08 0.009625 0.013068 0.017740 0.024649 0.034791 0.049422 0.072670
2026-03-15 0.009256 0.012731 0.017517 0.024713 0.035471 0.051302 0.077021
2026-03-22 0.008848 0.012320 0.017173 0.024583 0.035858 0.052769 0.080842
2026-03-29 0.008502 0.011980 0.016909 0.024553 0.036383 0.054463 0.085119
2026-04-05 0.008216 0.011712 0.016733 0.024637 0.037076 0.056440 0.089973
2026-04-12 0.007934 0.011435 0.016528 0.024660 0.037666 0.058275 0.094694
2026-04-19 0.007705 0.011224 0.016410 0.024806 0.038450 0.060454 0.100132
2026-04-26 0.007390 0.010869 0.016054 0.024556 0.038571 0.061536 0.103717
2026-05-03 0.007058 0.010475 0.015619 0.024155 0.038416 0.062135 0.106466
2026-05-10 0.006801 0.010185 0.015334 0.023980 0.038622 0.063351 0.110398
2026-05-17 0.006541 0.009878 0.015009 0.023722 0.038670 0.064287 0.113861
2026-05-24 0.006314 0.009615 0.014742 0.023545 0.038843 0.065442 0.117802